Marsilya vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marsilya v Lorient — Team-Based Signals
Marsilya vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-4
Marsilya
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Marsilya
FR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Lorient
FR1
0-3
HT 0-1
Marsilya
FR1
4-1
HT 1-1
Lorient
FR1
3-2
HT 0-1
Lorient
FR1
Marsilya 3-1 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics
Marsilya saw off Lorient 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Marsilya had 58% of the ball to Lorient's 42%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.68 to 1.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Marsilya and 1.00 for Lorient.
What was the final score of Marsilya vs Lorient?
Marsilya 3-1 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marsilya vs Lorient?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 54%, draw 24%, Lorient 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.