RC Strasbourg 2-1 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.9
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.59
X/2
9%
6.64
X/X
11%
4.78
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.85
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.53/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.06
-10% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
21.8 Crosses 18.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Metz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
383 Passes 329
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Metz Metz 0-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
09.01.2022 Metz Metz 0-2 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
17.09.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-0 HT 3-0 Metz Metz FR1
14.02.2021 Metz Metz 1-2 HT 1-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
13.12.2020 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-2 HT 0-1 Metz Metz FR1
15.08.2020 Metz Metz 3-2 HT 3-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
2-1
AWAY Metz
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
588 Passes 178
90% Pass Accuracy 71%
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg edged past Metz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RC Strasbourg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 71% of the ball to Metz's 29%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.00 for Metz.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Metz?

RC Strasbourg 2-1 Metz in the France - Ligue 1 on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 46%, draw 25%, Metz 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Strasbourg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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