Montpellier 0-2 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 12 May 2024

Montpellier
0-2 HT 0-0
Monaco
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Montpellier vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.79
2-3 Goals
38%
2.28
4-5 Goals
27%
2.4
6+ Goals
15%
4.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.54
1/2
8%
18.05
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
9.43
X/2
14%
4.66
X/X
8%
7.24
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
20%
2.14
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · X/1 at 9.43 — our 15% vs market 7.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+9.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.29/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.11
-16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
19.6 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Montpellier vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Monaco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.22 xG 1.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
274 Passes 406
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Monaco Monaco 2-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
30.04.2023 Monaco Monaco 0-4 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
09.10.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 0-2 HT 0-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
23.01.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 3-2 HT 2-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
24.10.2021 Monaco Monaco 3-1 HT 2-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
15.01.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 2-3 HT 0-2 Monaco Monaco FR1

Montpellier 0-2 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
0-2
AWAY Monaco
1.10 xG 2.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
321 Passes 431
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco saw off Montpellier 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montpellier had 45% of the ball to Monaco's 55%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.10 to 2.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Montpellier and 2.00 for Monaco.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Monaco?

Montpellier 0-2 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 34%, draw 22%, Monaco 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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