Jeju United 3-4 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.68
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
10%
5.94
X/2
15%
5.82
X/X
15%
5.15
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.56
2/X
5%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.89/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.16
-33% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.0 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Suwon City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 Passes 386
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
30.03.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
25.08.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 5-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
26.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
20.04.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
02.12.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
3-4
AWAY Suwon City
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 30
6 Shots on Target 13
0 Corners 10
365 Passes 305
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City squeezed past Jeju United 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Suwon City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Jeju United had 53% of the ball to Suwon City's 47%, shots finished 11-30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeju United and 1.33 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Suwon City?

Jeju United 3-4 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 35%, draw 25%, Suwon City 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suwon City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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