America de Cali 1-1 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Sep 2025

America de Cali
1-1 HT 0-0
Envigado
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

America de Cali vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.9pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.3pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

America de Cali v Envigado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
1.52/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.36
-2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
17.0 Crosses 10.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

America de Cali vs Envigado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Envigado
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.85 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2025 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
26.07.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 4-0 HT 2-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
19.02.2024 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
26.02.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
09.07.2022 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL

America de Cali 1-1 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-1
AWAY Envigado
2.54 xG 0.45
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
394 Passes 185
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali and Envigado couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. America de Cali carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, America de Cali had 66% of the ball to Envigado's 34%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.54 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for America de Cali and 0.33 for Envigado.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Envigado?

America de Cali 1-1 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 66%, draw 22%, Envigado 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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