HamKam 4-0 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.62
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.1
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
7%
7.76
X/2
16%
4.62
X/X
15%
5.27
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.54
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.1 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
26%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.5pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.04/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.56
-15% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
20.4 Crosses 18.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rosenborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.70 xG 1.94
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 442
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.07.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-0 HT 2-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
10.11.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
14.04.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
20.08.2023 HamKam HamKam 3-0 HT 2-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
04.06.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
06.08.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
4-0
AWAY Rosenborg
3.09 xG 0.38
67% Ball Possession 33%
29 Total Shots 7
16 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
560 Passes 253
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
52 Box Touches 11
38 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam ran out comfortable winners over Rosenborg 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rosenborg at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HamKam had 67% of the ball to Rosenborg's 33%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 3.09 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for HamKam and 1.83 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Rosenborg?

HamKam 4-0 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split HamKam 21%, draw 30%, Rosenborg 50%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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