CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Moskova v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
CSKA Moskova
RUS
1-0
HT 1-0
Baltika Kaliningrad
RUS
CSKA Moskova 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Moskova edged past Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, CSKA Moskova had 68% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 32%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.31 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CSKA Moskova's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.67 for Baltika Kaliningrad.
What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
CSKA Moskova 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 47%, draw 26%, Baltika Kaliningrad 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.