Konyaspor 2-1 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.0
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
17%
4.97
X/2
12%
6.87
X/X
12%
4.5
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.97
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.47/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.47
-10% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.0 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
300 Passes 440
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
03.11.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
28.01.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-3 HT 2-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
02.09.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
29.01.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
15.08.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
2-1
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.97 xG 1.87
30% Ball Possession 70%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 11
173 Passes 473
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor squeezed past Başakşehir FK 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Konyaspor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Konyaspor had 30% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 70%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.97 to 1.87 — on chances, Başakşehir FK could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Konyaspor and 1.33 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Konyaspor 2-1 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Konyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 44%, draw 27%, Başakşehir FK 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Konyaspor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Konyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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