Fenerbahçe 2-0 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.27
Draw
14%
5.15
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
30%
2.75
6+ Goals
9%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.42
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
23.0
X/1
27%
3.71
X/2
2%
21.7
X/X
4%
8.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.55
2/2
4%
19.45
2/X
6%
27.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
74%
+2.3pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.3pp
9%
Away Win
9%
-0.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
2.38/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.17
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
23.9 Crosses 12.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.11 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
360 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-0 HT 3-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
29.09.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
03.02.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
17.09.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-2 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
30.05.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
03.01.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
2-0
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.65 xG 0.24
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
524 Passes 221
92% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 2
30 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe got the better of Antalyaspor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 67% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 33%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.65 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.50 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Antalyaspor?

Fenerbahçe 2-0 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 77%, draw 14%, Antalyaspor 9%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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