Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-3 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.23/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.08
+10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.2 Crosses 19.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.02 xG 1.94
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
226 Passes 346
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-2 HT 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
28.07.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 0-1 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
06.06.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-5 HT 1-3 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
17.09.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-3 HT 1-3 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
20.08.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
21.05.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-3 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
0-3
AWAY Union Omaha
0.41 xG 1.36
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
194 Passes 451
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha cruised past Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Union Omaha found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 35% of the ball to Union Omaha's 65%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.41 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 2.50 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Union Omaha?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-3 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 33%, draw 28%, Union Omaha 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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