Spokane Velocity 0-1 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -17%
1.88/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.49
-14% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
18.2 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
13.10.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-3 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
10.03.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 3-1 HT 1-1 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
0-1
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.15 xG 1.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 Passes 228
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph nicked a narrow win over Spokane Velocity 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Greenville Triumph found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 61% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 39%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.15 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spokane Velocity and 3.00 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?

Spokane Velocity 0-1 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 39%, draw 25%, Greenville Triumph 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spokane Velocity), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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