Tormenta 4-2 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.35/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.38
-2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.9 Crosses 15.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tormenta
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.66 xG 1.34
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-3 HT 1-2 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
08.03.2025 Tormenta Tormenta 2-4 HT 2-3 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
12.10.2024 Tormenta Tormenta 2-2 HT 2-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
24.03.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-3 HT 0-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
01.10.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
28.05.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-1 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
4-2
AWAY Richmond Kickers
2.71 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 22
12 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tormenta saw off Richmond Kickers 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tormenta as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Tormenta had 49% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 51%, shots finished 18-22, expected goals 2.71 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tormenta had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tormenta and 1.67 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Richmond Kickers?

Tormenta 4-2 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 47%, draw 25%, Richmond Kickers 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tormenta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tormenta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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