Orange County SC 2-2 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 50%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.25/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.21
+28% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.0 Crosses 13.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orange County SC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Charleston Battery
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.62 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
366 Passes 406
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 6-0 HT 2-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
20.08.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 2-0 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
29.08.2021 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-0 HT 0-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orange County SC
2-2
AWAY Charleston Battery
1.37 xG 2.57
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
222 Passes 528
75% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC and Charleston Battery couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Charleston Battery at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orange County SC had 33% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 67%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 1.37 to 2.57.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orange County SC and 2.00 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Charleston Battery?

Orange County SC 2-2 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 31%, draw 22%, Charleston Battery 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charleston Battery) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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