Indy Eleven vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
2-4
HT 1-2
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
Indy Eleven 2-1 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven nicked a narrow win over FC Tulsa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Indy Eleven found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 39% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 61%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.66 to 1.08 — on chances, FC Tulsa could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.33 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs FC Tulsa?
Indy Eleven 2-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 39%, draw 28%, FC Tulsa 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.