Phoenix Rising 3-3 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒05:36 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +2%
1.14/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.42
-12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.3 Crosses 13.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phoenix Rising
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.32
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
404 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.07.2025 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-2 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
13.10.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
24.03.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-0 HT 0-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
25.06.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-1 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
11.06.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-2 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
11.09.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 0-2 HT 0-2 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
3-3
AWAY Oakland Roots
3.18 xG 2.23
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
418 Passes 179
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phoenix Rising and Oakland Roots shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Phoenix Rising at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Phoenix Rising had 65% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 35%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 3.18 to 2.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.00 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots?

Phoenix Rising 3-3 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 44%, draw 24%, Oakland Roots 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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