Guadalajara 0-0 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒05:07 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
13%
4.98
X/2
10%
6.74
X/X
10%
4.55
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.95
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.39/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.26
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
17.9 Crosses 16.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalajara
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 1.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 Passes 375
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2025 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-2 HT 1-2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
30.03.2025 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
22.09.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
03.03.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-0 HT 3-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
05.11.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
23.04.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalajara
0-0
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.97 xG 1.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
373 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara and Cruz Azul fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Guadalajara had 54% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 46%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.97 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guadalajara and 1.33 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul?

Guadalajara 0-0 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 43%, draw 25%, Cruz Azul 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guadalajara), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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