Piast Gliwice 0-2 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.11
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
20%
4.87
X/2
15%
6.81
X/X
10%
4.26
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
9%
5.22
2/X
7%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.35/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.39
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.1 Crosses 19.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.44 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
385 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-2 HT 0-2 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
21.09.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
07.04.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.09.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-2 HT 2-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
23.04.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
10.10.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
0-2
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.18 xG 2.61
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
479 Passes 188
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
46 Box Touches 15
36 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz saw off Piast Gliwice 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Piast Gliwice at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 68% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 32%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 1.18 to 2.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.67 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz?

Piast Gliwice 0-2 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 45%, draw 24%, Widzew Lodz 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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