Radomiak Radom 4-0 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.67
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
16%
5.79
X/2
10%
6.13
X/X
11%
4.57
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.01
2/X
5%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.49/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.27
+27% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
20.9 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 0.95
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
290 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-2 HT 2-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
25.09.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POLK
09.08.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-2 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
09.12.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
23.07.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-2 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
12.02.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
4-0
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
2.02 xG 0.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
376 Passes 409
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom ran out comfortable winners over Gornik Zabrze 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Radomiak Radom as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 48% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 52%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.02 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.00 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze?

Radomiak Radom 4-0 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 44%, draw 24%, Gornik Zabrze 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomiak Radom) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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