River Plate 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.53
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.1
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.85
X/1
14%
3.87
X/2
8%
10.95
X/X
10%
4.51
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
11%
10.1
2/X
8%
19.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.81/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.40
+14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 66%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
24.1 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 0.87
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
427 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2025 River Plate River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
18.04.2025 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-3 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
17.08.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
18.03.2024 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
29.10.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
14.04.2023 River Plate River Plate 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
2-0
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.71 xG 0.53
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
556 Passes 172
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 5
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate saw off Gimnasia La Plata 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, River Plate had 71% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 29%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.71 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for River Plate and 0.67 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata?

River Plate 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split River Plate 54%, draw 24%, Gimnasia La Plata 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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