Estudiantes 2-1 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.36
Over 2.5
44%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
7.43
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.73
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
13%
5.55
X/2
9%
5.15
X/X
14%
3.17
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
15%
4.22
2/X
10%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
70%
-14.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
30%
+13.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
0.99/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.18
+15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
19.6 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-2 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
20.04.2025 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
27.08.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
01.05.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
13.04.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
23.11.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-3 HT 2-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
2-1
AWAY Boca Juniors
2.13 xG 1.26
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
171 Passes 397
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes nicked a narrow win over Boca Juniors 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Estudiantes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes had 33% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 67%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.13 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estudiantes and 1.33 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?

Estudiantes 2-1 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 35%, draw 31%, Boca Juniors 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5
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