Municipal 1-0 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.92/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.19
+7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Xelaju MC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-3 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
24.08.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
30.03.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
27.01.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
10.11.2024 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
25.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal edged past Xelaju MC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Municipal and 0.50 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Xelaju MC?

Municipal 1-0 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Municipal 58%, draw 25%, Xelaju MC 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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