Boston United 2-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 36% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.33
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
16%
5.2
X/2
11%
6.37
X/X
11%
4.54
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.55
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.0pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.61/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.29
+12% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sutton United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 0-3 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İBSL
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United squeezed past Sutton United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Boston United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Sutton United?

Boston United 2-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boston United 38%, draw 28%, Sutton United 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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