Tamworth 2-0 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.71
Over
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.73
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
20%
3.93
6+
8%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.73 — our 32% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.77
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
16%
4.51
X/2
10%
7.45
X/X
16%
4.46
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
9%
5.97
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
2.69/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.68
+68% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
72 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 59 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Eastleigh
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 1-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
2-0
AWAY Eastleigh
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth beat Eastleigh 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tamworth as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tamworth had 54% of the ball to Eastleigh's 46%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Eastleigh?

Tamworth 2-0 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 44%, draw 30%, Eastleigh 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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