Scunthorpe United 2-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.82
Over
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No Pick
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
35%
3.01
2-3
36%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.59
6+
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.01 — our 35% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-15.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+11.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.77/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.61
-4% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Southport
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Southport Southport 3-2 HT 1-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
01.04.2024 Southport Southport 0-1 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
21.11.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
2-0
AWAY Southport
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United got the better of Southport 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 62% of the ball to Southport's 38%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Scunthorpe United and 1.00 for Southport.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Southport?

Scunthorpe United 2-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 50%, draw 25%, Southport 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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