Southport vs Scunthorpe United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southport v Scunthorpe United — Team-Based Signals
Southport vs Scunthorpe United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Southport
İCON
Southport 3-2 Scunthorpe United — Actual Match Statistics
Southport nicked a narrow win over Scunthorpe United 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Southport had 46% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 54%, shots finished 5-17.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Southport and 1.00 for Scunthorpe United.
What was the final score of Southport vs Scunthorpe United?
Southport 3-2 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southport vs Scunthorpe United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Southport 29%, draw 23%, Scunthorpe United 48%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.