St. Albans City 1-0 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.86
Over
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.17
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
19%
3.43
6+
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.32/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.44
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
352 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Farnborough
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
06.01.2024 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-1 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
14.10.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 2-1 HT 2-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
29.04.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
24.09.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 1-2 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
17.11.2014 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-3 HT 0-2 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
1-0
AWAY Farnborough
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City squeezed past Farnborough 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day St. Albans City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, St. Albans City had 49% of the ball to Farnborough's 51%, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Albans City and 1.33 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Farnborough?

St. Albans City 1-0 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 39%, draw 29%, Farnborough 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Albans City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
29 Mar 2025
18:00 Chester vs Curzon Ashton Analysis →
18:00 Chelmsford City vs Truro City Analysis →
18:00 Bath City vs Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis →
18:00 Dorking Wanderers vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
18:00 Weymouth vs Slough Town Analysis →
18:00 Aveley vs Torquay United Analysis →