Farnborough 1-0 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.91
Over
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.51
2-3
37%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.4
6+
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.51 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.70/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.40
+3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
2W-0D-3L
AWAY St. Albans City
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-1 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
14.10.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 2-1 HT 2-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
29.04.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
24.09.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 1-2 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
17.11.2014 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-3 HT 0-2 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
1-0
AWAY St. Albans City
50% Ball Possession 50%
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough nicked a narrow win over St. Albans City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Farnborough had 50% of the ball to St. Albans City's 50%, shots finished 1-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Albans City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Farnborough and 1.80 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs St. Albans City?

Farnborough 1-0 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 42%, draw 25%, St. Albans City 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Under 2.5
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