Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
1.04/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.45
-27% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
284 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Elgin City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
04.02.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 3-0 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
09.11.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
14.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
09.03.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
06.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
11.11.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City edged past Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Elgin City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elgin City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.33 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Elgin City?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 39%, draw 25%, Elgin City 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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