Cambridge United 1-1 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.54
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.98
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
16%
5.53
X/2
14%
5.58
X/X
8%
4.12
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
15%
4.04
2/X EV+ ✓
13%
13.9
Value flag · 2/X at 13.9 — our 13% vs market 4.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.12/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.96
-27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
258 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 65%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.6 Crosses 16.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
266 Passes 260
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
09.03.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
25.11.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
20.09.2022 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İNTK
16.11.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 3-1 HT 2-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town FAK
06.11.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
1-1
AWAY Northampton Town
0.13 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
159 Passes 130
58% Pass Accuracy 54%
8 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United and Northampton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cambridge United had 54% of the ball to Northampton Town's 46%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.13 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambridge United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cambridge United and 1.00 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Northampton Town?

Cambridge United 1-1 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 38%, draw 28%, Northampton Town 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cambridge United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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