Ashton United 5-1 Hebburn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebburn Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.03/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.28
+19% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hebburn Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Hebburn Town Hebburn Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
5-1
AWAY Hebburn Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Hebburn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United swept aside Hebburn Town 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ashton United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ashton United had 49% of the ball to Hebburn Town's 51%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Hebburn Town?

Ashton United 5-1 Hebburn Town in the England - Non League Premier on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Hebburn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 44%, draw 27%, Hebburn Town 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ashton United) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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