Leiston 0-2 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.2pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 42%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.57/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.31
+3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Bedford Town
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2024 Bedford Town Bedford Town 4-3 HT 3-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Bedford Town Bedford Town 3-4 HT 2-3 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
27.09.2022 Leiston Leiston 3-0 HT 1-0 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town got the better of Leiston 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leiston at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Leiston and 2.33 for Bedford Town.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Bedford Town?

Leiston 0-2 Bedford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leiston 46%, draw 18%, Bedford Town 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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