Almeria 1-0 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

Almeria
1-0 HT 0-0
Levante
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Almeria vs Levante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
2.68
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1 EV+ ✓
23%
4.96
X/2
15%
7.98
X/X
11%
4.89
2/1
6%
23.75
2/2
11%
5.68
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · X/1 at 4.96 — our 23% vs market 16.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almeria v Levante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.51/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.21
+4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.1 Crosses 14.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Almeria vs Levante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Levante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.43 xG 1.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Levante Levante 4-2 HT 2-2 Almeria Almeria İS2
25.07.2019 Levante Levante 2-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria HAZ
22.07.2017 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria HAZ
19.03.2017 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
09.10.2016 Almeria Almeria 2-2 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS2
04.04.2015 Almeria Almeria 1-4 HT 0-2 Levante Levante İS1

Almeria 1-0 Levante — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
1-0
AWAY Levante
1.55 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
368 Passes 267
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria squeezed past Levante 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Almeria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Almeria had 57% of the ball to Levante's 43%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.55 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almeria and 2.17 for Levante.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Levante?

Almeria 1-0 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Almeria 39%, draw 29%, Levante 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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