Racing Santander 2-0 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 34% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.53
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
18%
4.45
X/2
9%
8.21
X/X
14%
4.86
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
10%
6.44
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.64/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.16
-25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.4 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.37 xG 1.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
266 Passes 331
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-3 HT 0-2 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
26.05.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
15.09.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
15.04.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 4-1 HT 3-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
12.10.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
29.02.2020 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-2 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-0
AWAY Real Zaragoza
2.64 xG 0.18
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
485 Passes 206
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
35 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander saw off Real Zaragoza 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing Santander had 65% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 35%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.64 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Racing Santander and 1.83 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Real Zaragoza?

Racing Santander 2-0 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 47%, draw 28%, Real Zaragoza 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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