Cartagena vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cartagena v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Cartagena vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Cartagena
İSPK
1-0
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
2-1
HT 0-0
Cartagena
İS2
2-2
HT 2-1
Cartagena
İS2
2-1
HT 2-1
CD Castellon
İS2
Cartagena 2-2 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
Cartagena and CD Castellon shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cartagena had 29% of the ball to CD Castellon's 71%, shots finished 5-22, expected goals 0.92 to 1.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cartagena and 1.67 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Cartagena vs CD Castellon?
Cartagena 2-2 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cartagena vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 29%, draw 29%, CD Castellon 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.