Racing Ferrol 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.55
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
9%
6.73
X/2
19%
4.76
X/X
18%
3.71
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.26
2/X
5%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.03/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/1.08
-9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
20.9 Crosses 14.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.37 xG 0.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
229 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
16.04.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
11.12.2022 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 HT 2-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
05.03.2022 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
04.12.2021 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
20.02.2021 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
0-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.29 xG 1.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
328 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna squeezed past Racing Ferrol 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo La Coruna as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 51% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 49%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.29 to 1.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo La Coruna's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Racing Ferrol and 0.50 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Racing Ferrol 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 29%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Coruna 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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