Roma (K) 2-0 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.6pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.1pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.22/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.52
+32% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
41.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
24.9 Crosses 12.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.62 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
412 Passes 320
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2025 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
06.01.2025 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSK
09.11.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
19.05.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 5-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
20.04.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
17.02.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
2-0
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.91 xG 0.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
489 Passes 311
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) beat Fiorentina (K) 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roma (K) had 60% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 40%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.91 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Roma (K) and 0.17 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Roma (K) 2-0 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 58%, draw 26%, Fiorentina (K) 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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