Bayreuth 2-4 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.24/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.61
-26% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Vilzing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
8 Corners 2
21.09.2024 Vilzing Vilzing 2-2 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 2-1 HT 2-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing got the better of Bayreuth 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bayreuth at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vilzing led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bayreuth and 1.33 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Vilzing?

Bayreuth 2-4 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 41%, draw 34%, Vilzing 25%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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