Düren Merzenich 0-1 Mönchengladbach II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.3pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 51%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.28/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.24
+0% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düren Merzenich
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Mönchengladbach II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 5-0 HT 2-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
02.12.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 3-1 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 1-2 HT 0-2 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
10.12.2022 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 5-0 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
06.08.2022 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 1-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs Mönchengladbach II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach II edged past Düren Merzenich 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mönchengladbach II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Düren Merzenich had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Düren Merzenich and 2.40 for Mönchengladbach II.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs Mönchengladbach II?

Düren Merzenich 0-1 Mönchengladbach II in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs Mönchengladbach II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mönchengladbach II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 35%, draw 20%, Mönchengladbach II 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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