Nürnberg II 1-2 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.86/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.19
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Buchbach
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Buchbach Buchbach 0-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
22.03.2024 Buchbach Buchbach 1-3 HT 0-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
09.09.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 4-2 HT 1-2 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
14.04.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 4-3 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 4-0 HT 2-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
06.03.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach edged past Nürnberg II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Buchbach found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nürnberg II and 1.17 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Buchbach?

Nürnberg II 1-2 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 40%, draw 29%, Buchbach 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nürnberg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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