Rödinghausen 0-1 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.10/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.77
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +67%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rödinghausen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.10.2024 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rödinghausen vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg nicked a narrow win over Rödinghausen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day MSV Duisburg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Rödinghausen vs MSV Duisburg?

Rödinghausen 0-1 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rödinghausen vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rödinghausen 32%, draw 29%, MSV Duisburg 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
29 Mar 2025
00:00 Uerdingen vs Köln II Analysis →
15:00 Havelse vs Meppen Analysis →
15:00 Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
15:00 Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
16:00 FC Giessen vs Villingen Analysis →
16:00 Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg Analysis →