Türkgücü München 2-2 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 55%
-21% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.79/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.50
-38% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +140%
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 498 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkgücü München
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Illertissen
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 2-1 HT 1-0 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
11.11.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-2 HT 1-2 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 3-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 1-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
21.10.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 2-0 HT 1-0 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Türkgücü München vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkgücü München and Illertissen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Illertissen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Türkgücü München and 1.40 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Türkgücü München vs Illertissen?

Türkgücü München 2-2 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkgücü München vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Türkgücü München 22%, draw 29%, Illertissen 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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