Briton Ferry 1-0 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.65
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
43%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
4.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 31% vs market 17.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
18%
+13.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
44%
Away Win
60%
-16.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 64%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -27%
0.81/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.95
-18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.02.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-1 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
27.10.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 2-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
31.08.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-5 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry squeezed past Connahs Quay 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Briton Ferry and 2.33 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Connahs Quay?

Briton Ferry 1-0 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 32%, draw 25%, Connahs Quay 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Connahs Quay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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