Necaxa 2-0 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Necaxa EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
2.45/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.61
+16% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
26.3 Crosses 16.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Queretaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 Passes 292
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
03.05.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 1-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
17.02.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
30.12.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 Necaxa Necaxa HAZ
28.08.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
25.02.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-1 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
2-0
AWAY Queretaro
1.12 xG 0.62
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
397 Passes 235
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Necaxa vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Necaxa got the better of Queretaro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Necaxa had 60% of the ball to Queretaro's 40%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.12 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queretaro led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Necaxa and 0.83 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Necaxa vs Queretaro?

Necaxa 2-0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 53%, draw 25%, Queretaro 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Necaxa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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