La Serena 1-2 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — ŞİLİLK, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.93 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2026 La Serena La Serena 3-0 HT 2-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
16.08.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
16.03.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
30.10.2022 La Serena La Serena 2-1 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
22.05.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
29.11.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera edged past La Serena 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Union La Calera found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Serena had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for La Serena and 0.67 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Union La Calera?

La Serena 1-2 Union La Calera in the ŞİLİLK on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split La Serena 37%, draw 31%, Union La Calera 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (La Serena), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Serena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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