Union La Calera 2-1 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — ŞİLİLK, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 36%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
0W-2D-4L
AWAY La Serena
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.21 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 Passes 261
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2026 La Serena La Serena 3-0 HT 2-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
16.08.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
16.03.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
30.10.2022 La Serena La Serena 2-1 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
22.05.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
29.11.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera nicked a narrow win over La Serena 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Union La Calera made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Serena led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union La Calera and 1.67 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs La Serena?

Union La Calera 2-1 La Serena in the ŞİLİLK on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 37%, draw 29%, La Serena 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union La Calera), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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