Adelaide United II 1-1 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.35
No
47%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
70%
-17.2pp
47%
BTTS No
30%
+17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
2.55/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.86
+42% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Croydon Kings
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
21.06.2025 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 4-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
23.03.2025 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 3-2 HT 2-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
15.06.2024 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 3-4 HT 0-3 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
23.03.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-4 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
05.08.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
30.04.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United II and Croydon Kings shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide United II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.33 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs Croydon Kings?

Adelaide United II 1-1 Croydon Kings in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 44%, draw 21%, Croydon Kings 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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