Estoril U23 1-1 União de Leiria U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.55/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.00
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-2D-1L
AWAY União de Leiria U23
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2026 União de Leiria U23 2-3 HT 1-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
10.12.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 2-2 HT 1-1 União de Leiria U23 UŞGB
09.12.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 2-2 União de Leiria U23 PORU23
23.09.2025 União de Leiria U23 3-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-1
AWAY União de Leiria U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 and União de Leiria U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 52% of the ball to União de Leiria U23's 48%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Estoril U23 and 2.25 for União de Leiria U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Estoril U23 1-1 União de Leiria U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 52%, draw 25%, União de Leiria U23 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ BTTS Yes
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