Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Khorfakkan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli FC Dubai v Khorfakkan — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Khorfakkan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Khorfakkan
BAE
3-1
HT 2-0
Khorfakkan
BAE
Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-3 Khorfakkan — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli FC Dubai and Khorfakkan couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Ahli FC Dubai at 75% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 72% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 28%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.55 to 1.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 0.50 for Khorfakkan.
What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Khorfakkan?
Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-3 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Khorfakkan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 75%, draw 14%, Khorfakkan 11%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) went the other way.