Longford Town 3-1 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 29 May 2026

📅29/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
7%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 31% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -20%
1.32/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.29
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Treaty United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2026 Treaty United Treaty United 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
05.10.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 1-2 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
09.08.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
23.05.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 5-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
27.09.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town saw off Treaty United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Longford Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Longford Town and 1.50 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Treaty United?

Longford Town 3-1 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 48%, draw 23%, Treaty United 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Longford Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Longford Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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