Treaty United 1-2 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -28%
2.11/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.74
+32% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
23.05.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 5-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
27.09.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
10.08.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
31.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town edged past Treaty United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Treaty United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Treaty United and 1.17 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Longford Town?

Treaty United 1-2 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 46%, draw 22%, Longford Town 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Treaty United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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